When I play the piano, I know all the notes on the sheet music. And I know when to play each key and which key on the piano to press.

I don't understand why the notes are arranged like this. And due to this lack of understanding, I would fail in a jazz ensemble where there's no one telling me what and when to play.

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On the flip side, it is interesting how we quickly and broadly we can lose the "art" of working with certain resources. Hemp is an interesting example of a material that was broadly used in construction and textiles for thousands of years. Today, its use has been relegated primarily to CBD production and smokable products. Bringing hemp back as a building material isn't as straight forward as planting seeds, harvesting and processing. Not only do we not have the equipment to do it, but the genetics for construction-quality hemp have largely been bred out and the cultivation practices would need to be relearned. Then, of course, there would be the process of reincorporating hemp material into building practices which have been refined for other materials.

We've lost the art of working with hemp as a building material. US regulations against hemp cultivation were a contributing factor here. With recent reforms we now we see startups looking to reinvest and bring hemp construction materials and practices back to the market.


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Treading on thin ice as these concepts are not my specialization; that said… I’m intrigued about this in the context of Minsky Moments, or fingers of instability. As an example, I’m thinking about the large scale effects that could happen as climate change (I call it climate volatility) exacerbates. We may tend to become comfortable at each increasingly risky/more volatile stage. This will affect our choice set. Are we making the best choices/preparing with the right new know how along the way? I may not think collapse will happen in my lifetime, but I can’t be certain when I accept that volatility is the driver, not a smooth transition from here to there.

I can’t know how innovation, tech, agriculture, housing, finance and banking, etc and society will adapt in chunks larger than day-to-day, month-to-month types of increments. Meaning, I’m not sure I can see and read these effectively in long run types of scopes.

What’s an example the of attitude I should take in this example. Should I pick a collapse scenario and then learn realestate in places that are likely to be less affected. Then should I learn how to live there? When do I make a choice about moving?

This focuses on picking a collapse scenario doesn’t it? And so this leads me to a mix of scenario planning and preparedness. A balance, but a balanced focused on the core items of preparedness and scenario not boiling the ocean either on the prediction side or the preparation side.

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